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# neural-forecasts
Slackbot
06/13/2023, 12:25 PMThis message was deleted.
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Kin Gtz. Olivares
06/13/2023, 12:29 PMHey @Patrick ,
It seems that your signal is really stable.
Have you tried using StatsForecast baseline models?
https://nixtla.github.io/statsforecast/src/core/models.html#baseline-models
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Patrick
06/13/2023, 12:29 PMno, I am using the anomaly detection model
Patrick
06/13/2023, 12:30 PManother one
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Kin Gtz. Olivares
06/13/2023, 12:31 PMYou can use baselines for anomaly detection too.
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Patrick
06/13/2023, 12:31 PMok, I am following the example basically.
Patrick
06/13/2023, 12:31 PMI see that I need to change my whole approach again as it expects a numpydarray
Patrick
06/13/2023, 12:32 PMCan you anyway answer the inital question? It’s not on me or whats the error there?
Patrick
06/13/2023, 12:32 PMdo i need more data?
Patrick
06/13/2023, 12:34 PMmore data leads to that
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Kin Gtz. Olivares
06/13/2023, 12:36 PMhttps://nixtla.github.io/statsforecast/src/core/models.html#mstl
You might be able to try a simpler model for the trend instead of the underlying AutoETS, from your plots it is not very clear if you have seasonalities.
I recommend you to start with a simpler model than MSTL.
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Patrick
06/13/2023, 12:37 PMok anyway, why is the Y axis not correct? Can you spot any error?
Patrick
06/13/2023, 12:39 PMWell the season_length is definitly not correct in my code. but this docu tbh is also not easy to read through woow
Patrick
06/13/2023, 12:41 PMTrying to go thorugh it and it is pretty hard to get started here
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Kin Gtz. Olivares
06/13/2023, 12:41 PMWe appreciate the comment and we are open to contributions :3
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Patrick
06/13/2023, 12:45 PMdo you have a discord or something for a voice chat?
Patrick
06/13/2023, 12:50 PMnot sure if this is a bug too:
Probably the factory isn’t working?
`
Copy code
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
TypeError Traceback (most recent call last)
<ipython-input-154-3d17808d20b9> in <cell line: 1>()
----> 1 StatsForecast.forecast(h=48,df=filtered_df)
TypeError: StatsForecast.forecast() missing 1 required positional argument: 'self'm
Max (Nixtla)
06/13/2023, 4:04 PM@Patrick, which time zone are you in? Happy to jump into a call and help you out.
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Max (Nixtla)
06/13/2023, 4:05 PMWell the season_length is definitly not correct in my code. but this docu tbh is also not easy to read through woowWe are sorry you had that experience, can you help us understand the parts that were not clear so we can improve them?
Max (Nixtla)
06/13/2023, 4:09 PMRegarding you initial question:
• y should be the original value coming from your data. If the Y-Axis only shows values between 3,1,2 its probably because that is the data that you have. (To be clear, y is not applying any modification to your data frame)
• Could you please validate your data by doing other plots (line or distributions) or even counting unique values?
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Patrick
06/14/2023, 7:27 AMHi @Max (Nixtla) thanks for your response. I am in GMT+1 but am flexible. Hit me up when you’re free 🙂
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