#neural-forecast

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# neural-forecast

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Muhammad Hasnain Khan

12/07/2022, 10:40 AMGreetings!, I hope everyone is doing well. I am working on a regression problem and I am looking forward to use Transformers for it but before jumping into the implementation and all stuff, I am curious that did any of you use transformers for regression problem. I have around 90 features (floating points) and one target. I couldn't find any paper on transformers for regression problems so please let me know if any of you used transformers for this purpose.

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Andrei Tulbure

12/07/2022, 10:48 AMTFT comes in mind if you want to do forecasting. But first try with a simple lin reg and then move on to random forest/lightgbm. Get those as baselines. Then move over to more deep learning stuff imo.

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Muhammad Hasnain Khan

12/07/2022, 10:50 AMI already trained LR and tree based architectures and I am considering those as baseline models and I read TFT paper but TFT comes for time series problem where they are taking the timestamp information separately, I don't have timestamp info but I can use index as timestamp but it will not make any sense but it is worth giving it a try.

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Andrei Tulbure

12/07/2022, 10:50 AMHave you tried a simple NN? Like a 2-3 layered one?

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Muhammad Hasnain Khan

12/07/2022, 10:51 AMYes, I did but MSE loss is quite high.

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Andrei Tulbure

12/07/2022, 11:11 AMfine tuned it ? did you do neural architecture search ?

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Muhammad Hasnain Khan

12/07/2022, 12:09 PMYes, I fine tuned it but no luck with these approaches. I didn't do the NAS till now but will have a look for sure.

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Andrei Tulbure

12/07/2022, 12:50 PMtry fione tuning nr of layers and nr of neurons

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Kin Gtz. Olivares

12/07/2022, 2:19 PMHey **@Muhammad Hasnain Khan**,
If you have a classic regression problem, you might want to treat it as such.
P(Y_i | X_i)
The methods that we focus on Nixtla are forecasting methods, solving:
P(Y_[t+1:t+h] | Y_[ :t ])
Key regression/forecasting differences:
• forecasting aims to predict several steps ahead, making it a multivariate regression problem.
• forecasting usually exploits time dependencies in the features, for example through lags (past series values). TFT, along with most Nixtla's methods are actively exploiting the time dependency structures.
• regression often times does not consider if the prediction will be future, current or past.
As **@Andrei Tulbure**, suggested you might want to try RF/LGBM and linear regression first.
If your problem does not have time dependencies, forecasting methods might not be suited.
If you are interested in trying TFT here is a usage example:
https://nixtla.github.io/neuralforecast/models.tft.html

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