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Farzad E

01/11/2023, 10:02 PM
How is it that the SeasonalNaive forecaster takes a 'level' argument in its predict method? I thought seasonal naive just takes the value from the last cycle which it finds by looking at the season_length. How can it calculate confidence intervals? How does 'level' work for it?
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Mariana Menchero

01/11/2023, 10:04 PM
Hi Farzad. The confidence levels of the seasonal naive are computed as explained here: https://otexts.com/fpp3/prediction-intervals.html
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Farzad E

01/11/2023, 10:23 PM
Thanks!
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